Course: Math 208X, Elementary Probability and Statistics, Spring 2020
Prerequisite: Math 118 or Math 125.
Course Content: Descriptive statistics, probability, discrete and continuous random variables, expectation and variance, sampling, Central Limit Theorem, estimation, hypothesis testing, correlation and regression. Emphasis on health science.
Syllabus: here. Last update: 25 November 2019

Instructor: Steven Heilman, stevenmheilman(@-symbol)gmail.com
Office Hours: Mondays, 9AM-11AM, KAP 406G
Lecture Meeting Time/Location: Mondays, Wednesdays, and Fridays, 11AM-1150AM, VKC 102
TA: ... (@-symbol)usc.edu
You are not required to buy a textbook. Free lecture notes are provided below.
Recommended Textbook: D. Freedman, R. Pisani, and R. Purves, Statistics, Fourth edition.

First Midterm:  Friday, February 14, 11AM-1150AM, VKC 102
Second Midterm: Friday, March 27, 11AM-1150AM, VKC 102
Final Exam: Wednesday, May 6, 11AM-1PM, Location TBD
Other Resources: The Math Center is located in 263 KAP and is open Monday-Friday from 8am to 7pm on most days. It is primarily run by math graduate students here at USC.

Email Policy:

Exam Procedures: Students must bring their USCID cards to the midterms and to the final exam. Phones must be turned off. Cheating on an exam results in a score of zero on that exam. Exams can be regraded at most 15 days after the date of the exam. This policy extends to homeworks as well. All students are expected to be familiar with the USC Student Conduct Code. (See also here.)
Disability Services: If you are registered with disability services, I would be happy to discuss this at the beginning of the course. Any student requesting accommodations based on a disability is required to register with Disability Services and Programs (DSP) each semester. A letter of verification for approved accommodations can be obtained from DSP. Please be sure the letter is delivered to me as early in the semester as possible. DSP is located in 301 STU and is open 8:30am-5:00pm, Monday through Friday.
https://dsp.usc.edu/
213-740-0776 (phone)
213-740-6948 (TDD only)
213-740-8216 (fax)
ability@usc.edu

Discrimination, sexual assault, and harassment are not tolerated by the university. You are encouraged to report any incidents to the Office of Equity and Diversity http://equity.usc.edu/ or to the Department of Public Safety http://capsnet.usc.edu/department/department-public-safety/online-forms/contact-us. This is important for the safety whole USC community. Another member of the university community - such as a friend, classmate, advisor, or faculty member - can help initiate the report, or can initiate the report on behalf of another person. The Center for Women and Men http://www.usc.edu/student-affairs/cwm/ provides 24/7 confidential support, and the sexual assault resource center webpage sarc@usc.edu describes reporting options and other resources.

Exam Resources: Here is a page containing old exams for a course similar to ours. The material on these exams might differ from the material on our exams.

Homework Policy:

Grading Policy:

Tentative Schedule: (This schedule may change slightly during the course.)

Week Monday Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Friday
1 Jan 13: 1, Controlled Experiments Jan 14 Jan 15: 2, Observational Studies Jan 16: Jan 17: Read the syllabus due. Homework 1 due. 3, The Histogram
2 Jan 20: No class   Jan 21 Jan 22: 4, Average and Standard Deviation Jan 23: Jan 24: Homework 2 due. 5, Normal Approximation
3 Jan 27: 6, Measurement Error Jan 28 Jan 29: 8, Correlation Jan 30: Jan 31: Homework 3 due. 9, Correlation
4 Feb 3: 10, Regression Feb 4 Feb 5: 11, Regression Error Feb 6 Feb 7: 12, Regression Line
5 Feb 10: 13.1, Sets and Probabilities Feb 11 Feb 12: 13.1, Sets and Probabilities Feb 13 Feb 14: Exam 1
6 Feb 17: No class Feb 18 Feb 19: 13.2, Conditional Probability Feb 20 Feb 21: Homework 5 due. 13.3, Multiplication Rule
7 Feb 24: 14.2, Total Probability Theorem Feb 25 Feb 26: 13.4, Independence Feb 27 Feb 28: :Homework 6 due. 13.4, Independence
8 Mar 2: 15, Binomial Formula Mar 3 Mar 4: 16, Discrete Random Variables Mar 5 Mar 6: Homework 7 due. 17.1, Expected Value
9 Mar 9: 17.2, Variance Mar 10 Mar 11: 17, Joint PMF, Covariance, Variance Mar 12: Mar 13: Homework 8 due. 18, Central Limit Theorem
10 Mar 16: No class (spring break) Mar 17 Mar 18: No class (spring break) Mar 19 Mar 20: No class (spring break)
11 Mar 23: 18, Central Limit Theorem Mar 24 Mar 25: 18, Central Limit Theorem Mar 26 Mar 27: Exam 2
12 Mar 30: 19, Sampling Mar 31 Apr 1: 20, Sampling Apr 2: Apr 3: Homework 9 due. 21, Sampling
13 Apr 6: 23, Sampling Apr 7 Apr 8: 23, Sampling Apr 9 Apr 10: Homework 10 due. 24,25, Applied Models
14 Apr 13: 26, Hypothesis Testing Apr 14 Apr 15: 26, Hypothesis Testing Apr 16 Apr 17: Homework 11 due. 27, Estimation
15 Apr 20: 27, Estimation Apr 21 Apr 22: 28, Chi-Squared Apr 23 Apr 24: Homework 12 due. 28, Chi-Squared
16 Apr 27: 29, Significance Apr 28 Apr 29: 29, Significance Apr 30 May 1: Homework 13 due. Review of course

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Homework

Homework Digest

Supplementary Notes